Does serious offending lead to homicide? Exploring the interrelationships and sequencing of serious crime

Soothill, Keith and Francis, Brian and Liu, Jiayi (2008) Does serious offending lead to homicide? Exploring the interrelationships and sequencing of serious crime. British Journal of Criminology, 48 (4). pp. 522-537. ISSN 0007-0955

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Official URL: http://bjc.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/abstract...

Abstract

The interrelationships between serious types of crime have been neglected. Focusing on those convicted of arson (n = 45,915), blackmail (n = 5,774), kidnapping (n = 7,291) and threats to kill (n = 9,816) in England and Wales (1979–2001), we examine the specialization and sequencing of these crimes in relation to the risk of subsequent homicide. All four offences have a heightened likelihood of subsequent homicide compared to the general population. Arson, blackmail and threats to kill have a similar homicide risk (0.8 per cent) after a 20-year follow-up; in contrast, kidnapping has a higher likelihood (1.0 per cent). Sequencing is also relevant, with those convicted of more than one type of serious offence being at higher risk of a homicide conviction. Additionally, there is evidence of specialization (particularly for arsonists) among serious offenders who recidivate.

Item Type:Article
Subjects:5. Quantitative Data Handling and Data Analysis > 5.7 Longitudinal Data Analysis
ID Code:704
Deposited By: L-W-S user
Deposited On:02 Apr 2009 13:24
Last Modified:09 Feb 2012 14:42

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