Predicting reconviction for middle class offenders. Do predictors change with length of follow-up?

Soothill, K. and Humphreys, L. and Francis, B. (2011) Predicting reconviction for middle class offenders. Do predictors change with length of follow-up? In: European Society of Criminology, 21 - 24 September 2011, Vilnius, Lithuania. (Unpublished)

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Official URL: http://www.eurocrim2011.com/

Abstract

Are just a few variables important for predicting reconvictions under various conditions? Or do particular variables come into play at different points? This paper analyses the contribution which various variables make to a variety of outcome measures. The resource for the study is a consecutive series of 388 offenders who were seeking white-collar employment between 1 January 1970 and 31 March 1973. Thus, their class position at this point - defined in occupational terms - is quite clear. The series is considered in criminological terms to the end of 2006 (a follow-up of 33-36 years). Variables considered include demographic characteristics, educational background, employment history, and previous criminal record. The outcome measures are the likelihood of being reconvicted for (a) any ‘standard list’ offence,(b) ‘white-collar’ offences and (c) any sex or violence offences within 1, 5, 10, 20 and 35 years after being interviewed between 1970 and 1973.

Item Type:Conference or Workshop Item (Paper)
Subjects:5. Quantitative Data Handling and Data Analysis > 5.7 Longitudinal Data Analysis
ID Code:2209
Deposited By: L-W-S user
Deposited On:20 Feb 2012 15:34
Last Modified:20 Feb 2012 15:34

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