eprintid: 1776 rev_number: 10 eprint_status: archive userid: 12 dir: disk0/00/00/17/76 datestamp: 2011-04-06 14:26:53 lastmod: 2011-04-06 14:26:53 status_changed: 2011-04-06 14:26:53 type: monograph metadata_visibility: show item_issues_count: 0 creators_name: Mason, Alexina creators_name: Best, Nicky creators_name: Richardson, Sylvia creators_name: PLEWIS, IAN creators_id: ian.plewis@manchester.ac.uk corp_creators: RES-576-25-5003 title: Strategy for modelling non-random missing data mechanisms in observational studies using Bayesian methods ispublished: submitted subjects: 03_06 subjects: 05_07 full_text_status: public monograph_type: technical_report abstract: Observational studies are notoriously full of non-responses and missing values. Bayesian full probability modelling provides a °exible approach for analysing such data, allowing a plausible model to be built which can then be adapted to carry out a range of sensitivity analyses. In this context, we propose a strategy for using Bayesian methods for a `statistically principled' investigation of data which contains missing covariates and missing responses, likely to be non- random. The ¯rst part of this strategy entails constructing a `base model' by selecting a model of interest, then adding a sub-model to impute the missing covariates followed by a sub-model to allow informative missingness in the response. The second part involves running a series of sensitivity analyses to check the robustness of the conclusions. We implement our strategy to investigate some typical research questions relating to the prediction of income, using data from the Millennium Cohort Study. date: 2010 publisher: Imperial College London citation: Mason, Alexina and Best, Nicky and Richardson, Sylvia and PLEWIS, IAN (2010) Strategy for modelling non-random missing data mechanisms in observational studies using Bayesian methods. Technical Report. Imperial College London. (Submitted) document_url: http://eprints.ncrm.ac.uk/1776/1/StrategySubmitted.pdf