relation: http://eprints.ncrm.ac.uk/1776/ title: Strategy for modelling non-random missing data mechanisms in observational studies using Bayesian methods creator: Mason, Alexina creator: Best, Nicky creator: Richardson, Sylvia creator: PLEWIS, IAN subject: 3.6 Nonresponse subject: 5.7 Longitudinal Data Analysis description: Observational studies are notoriously full of non-responses and missing values. Bayesian full probability modelling provides a °exible approach for analysing such data, allowing a plausible model to be built which can then be adapted to carry out a range of sensitivity analyses. In this context, we propose a strategy for using Bayesian methods for a `statistically principled' investigation of data which contains missing covariates and missing responses, likely to be non- random. The ¯rst part of this strategy entails constructing a `base model' by selecting a model of interest, then adding a sub-model to impute the missing covariates followed by a sub-model to allow informative missingness in the response. The second part involves running a series of sensitivity analyses to check the robustness of the conclusions. We implement our strategy to investigate some typical research questions relating to the prediction of income, using data from the Millennium Cohort Study. publisher: Imperial College London date: 2010 type: Working Paper type: NonPeerReviewed format: application/pdf language: en identifier: http://eprints.ncrm.ac.uk/1776/1/StrategySubmitted.pdf identifier: Mason, Alexina and Best, Nicky and Richardson, Sylvia and PLEWIS, IAN (2010) Strategy for modelling non-random missing data mechanisms in observational studies using Bayesian methods. Technical Report. Imperial College London. (Submitted)